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US severely undercounting coronavirus numbers, experts say

- Sat, 11 Apr 2020 09:10:09 EST IoYJBBvY No.184152
File: 1586610609941.jpg -(33287B / 32.51KB, 930x558) Thumbnail displayed, click image for full size. US severely undercounting coronavirus numbers, experts say
Barnaby Pickworth - Sat, 11 Apr 2020 09:15:38 EST n2+AvTM/ No.184153 Reply
Once again, if they're undercounting (or exaggerating), why do the numbers match at the end of the week?

Because the whole entire world is all lying?
Hamilton Buzzfuck - Sat, 11 Apr 2020 10:04:35 EST GW1axdWk No.184155 Reply
1586613875043.jpg -(33514B / 32.73KB, 736x414) Thumbnail displayed, click image for full size.
>tfw you accuse NBC, ABC and The New York Times of being part of a Chinese Robot Conspiracy because they made you look bad
David Pavinglut - Sat, 11 Apr 2020 10:38:26 EST iueiruss No.184156 Reply
>“This probably happens all the time with different diseases, but this is the first time I’m paying attention to it,” Ms. Perry said. “If we don’t know the numbers, how are we going to be able to prepare ourselves and protect ourselves?”
George Drizzleford - Sat, 11 Apr 2020 14:21:57 EST fxZPTs+O No.184164 Reply
Counting disease numbers is intrinsically hard. Probably everyone is undercounting, especially in places like the US where centralized oversight is nil and there are fewer tests than really active cases.
Sophie Ceddlefoot - Sat, 11 Apr 2020 22:34:23 EST Opzx51OZ No.184179 Reply
Beats dying by tube rejection in a hosspital 110%
Basil Werringfick - Sun, 12 Apr 2020 05:49:16 EST vJzt15Nj No.184188 Reply



On a serious note the death rate is a good way to tell the undercounting. If the expected rate is 5% then a death rate much above that implies that they are only testing relatively severe cases. if the death rate exceeds 90% of resolved cases you can assume that they're not testing people who don't have obvious severe symptoms.

if you make the following assumptions
>the death rate in coronavirus remains 5% in every country
>all cases that kill are picked up

Then you're assuming your deaths are just 5% of the resolved cases.

If you make another assumption, this is the iffiest
>the ratio of tests to active cases has been pretty constant throughout the trajectory

You could divide the death rate by 5% and then multiple total cases by this figure for a rough figure.

If you assume the death rate in a given country is higher it lowers the cases. If you assume some cases aren't picked up it raises total cases. If you assume the tests have ramped up then this means that there's probably less cases than this formula indicates. But lets be honest, the UK and US probably do have somewhere between 3 and 20 times as many cases as reported.

Anyway, the point is US is fucking storming it. Trump is winning death race 2020.
Reuben Grandworth - Sun, 12 Apr 2020 07:05:15 EST bvVV2/KT No.184190 Reply
>if the death rate exceeds 90% of resolved cases
Then we're dealing with some kind of fictional cartoon virus.

Stop your bullshit.
Matilda Bipperwell - Sun, 12 Apr 2020 09:37:56 EST E2Yofruj No.184194 Reply
Yeah but the "probably below 1% real fatality rate" talking point is bullshit as well.

I wouldn't be surprised if this gets into the ballpark of WWII, namely 70-80 million.
That would happen with a fatality rate of 3% and 30% of the world population infected.
Eliza Siffingsod - Sun, 12 Apr 2020 11:03:17 EST Fp2m20lL No.184195 Reply
Idk man, how could anyone know that number if they're only testing hospitalized cases? Why even speculate on its veracity?
Eliza Siffingsod - Sun, 12 Apr 2020 11:07:03 EST Fp2m20lL No.184196 Reply
(also didn't read the second part - that would be certainly a very deadly coronavirus, if one existed like that).
Martha Shittingford - Mon, 13 Apr 2020 12:13:58 EST vJzt15Nj No.184207 Reply
Okay let me correct that statement
>if the recorded death rate exceeds 90% of resolved cases

Which given everything else I said was about lots of non fatal cases being not recorded would make more sense than you jumping in half cocked like a full Reuben. If you are reporting that 90% of recorded cases kill it doesn't REALLY mean that it's 90% lethal it means that actually you're probably missing 90-95% of your cases.
Shit Clicklestock - Mon, 13 Apr 2020 12:30:30 EST Z1XbjjPT No.184208 Reply
Of course real facts don't depend on this kind of flibbertyflobbity bullshit impossible to understand retard-speak that you've just given us here, so I'm inclined to think that you're full of shit and you need to fuck off.
Ian Brummlekork - Sun, 17 May 2020 14:14:17 EST 0s+MQBCi No.185265 Reply
Can you post a source that doesn't receive state funding?
>details of actual post
Fact is, it simply is not possible to determine the true death rates of an epidemic, while you are in it. You can get models, but the models will be wrong as time goes on. The infection rate though is much easier to quantify, and we can confirm that this is likely the most infectious disease to have hit the modern world.
>real concern
We won't know what the lasting side effects of this are for a long time. I suspect the chinese coronavirus will be causing reproductive harm in males especially, in more severe cases, due to the ACE2 receptor action going on in the TESTICLES! (Yes, this will inflame the testicles, and acute inflammation can cause permanent damage.) That is, along with a bunch of other organs.
Ian Brummlekork - Sun, 17 May 2020 16:00:19 EST 0s+MQBCi No.185267 Reply
Given how much I emphasized testicles, I have to state that this batch of girlscoutcookies is a solid strain. I stand by all statements made, though the emphasis may make this look like highbabble.
John Crettingdock - Wed, 20 May 2020 01:22:24 EST +WqyRtZs No.185337 Reply
>Can you post a source that doesn't receive state funding?
Jarvis Cleshgold - Wed, 20 May 2020 14:20:17 EST scym3S0N No.185347 Reply
Yeah, I know, good luck on that one. NPR for example, state funded... but even if you find one that isn't state funded, it's all pay to play now. If a story isn't about pushing the agenda of the editor, and it's not about pumping the stocks or other assets of the owners of the network, then it's paid for by somebody and it's not the readers. This is the unintended consequence of the financial losses accrued by legacy media and it's become the primary method of funding of new media types as well.
Of all the things I think I could fix somehow, I don't have a clue when it comes to fixing journalism. At least I learned one thing about the news from /biz/ and that's to buy the hype and SELL the story. (ie once the news says something is good, sell all of it. )
Nigel Buzzhood - Sun, 24 May 2020 07:16:05 EST Z1XbjjPT No.185482 Reply
So fuck off out of here, why are you even on the internet? To swallow more lies? Jesus Christ, either you believe what you say or you're trying to make me believe it, and since I'm not dumb enough to swallow your bullshit, who are you typing all that shit to? Fuck off.
Frederick Honeybury - Mon, 25 May 2020 01:05:35 EST eW7lNgCN No.185509 Reply

The entire thing about "the press" is that it has always, always been an incredibly expensive industry to take part in, more so starting in the 19th century. Anyone who had the money to be able to start a press was somebody with a lot of money, meaning with a heavily vested interest in politics, meaning they had personal motives for their investing hundreds of thousands of dollars into making a newspaper. The entire point of "the press" was to push a narrative.
Frederick Tillingwater - Mon, 25 May 2020 03:07:53 EST g+vb2gyp No.185511 Reply
1590390473951.jpg -(90500B / 88.38KB, 1061x709) Thumbnail displayed, click image for full size.
>even if you find one that isn't state funded, it's all pay to play now. If a story isn't about pushing the agenda of the editor, and it's not about pumping the stocks or other assets of the owners of the network, then it's paid for by somebody and it's not the readers. This is the unintended consequence of the financial losses accrued by legacy media and it's become the primary method of funding of new media types as well.

This isn't a new phenomenon, even as far back as the 60s, Hunter S Thompson wrote about how newspapers across the country revenue sources had completely shifted from subscriptions to advertisements to think tanks paying for their perspectives to be disseminated.
It's not restricted to media either.

Also despite being state funded, NPR has been pretty shitty for the last few years in the way that only liberal news can be where they pretend the absolute furthest left option available is literally what the republicans want but with minor technical changes.
Jack Docklefire - Mon, 25 May 2020 13:29:25 EST mcs8wGTd No.185532 Reply
Then why is it nothing but communism?... or was that PBS? PBS is communism.
Phineas Bazzlebitch - Tue, 26 May 2020 12:04:57 EST O/BUJHAn No.185545 Reply
I really interested to hear, what such dumb fuck USAian define to "Communism." Many such poltard lurk here even now so, you tell me what is Communism? What you think Communism is? What you think word like Socialism or Communism even mean? You even know such differences? And, no it not taking you guns to hui. Marxism advocate for armed proletariat not such different from burger second amendment. People who say, no guns to you, is Capitalists who fear for they lives when pyramid scam start exposure.
Nigel Sabblewell - Tue, 26 May 2020 12:09:42 EST aRAdhvmK No.185547 Reply
>I really interested to hear,
No you aren't. You want someone to respond so that you can vomit more of your desperate nonsense. Just respond to this post, why wait for permission? Why go through the motions of pretending you're here to have a conversation?
Phineas Bazzlebitch - Tue, 26 May 2020 12:30:01 EST O/BUJHAn No.185548 Reply
I want to know such absurdities you believe as typical fat scooter man who think what you dont like is Communiam. I here such all times and never hear definition what they even think such words mean. It is clear, you do not know but, at least not so dumb you unaware you do not know what words you use mena.
Nigel Sabblewell - Tue, 26 May 2020 12:35:01 EST aRAdhvmK No.185549 Reply
You have a lot to say to that person, why not just say it? Perhaps publish a newspaper or put it on a blog or something. The users here don't understand you and don't care about the things you want to talk about.
Lydia Summleman - Tue, 26 May 2020 12:50:40 EST GW1axdWk No.185551 Reply
I care more about his rambling than this faux-enlightened platitudinous schtick you're on.

"You don't want to have a conversation, actually you do cause you have a lot to say so just say it, actually just say it but not here in a newspaper or something" is not substance. Crazy Russian bro might be incoherent at times but he's contributing more to these conversations than you are.
Lydia Hozzlebed - Tue, 26 May 2020 14:21:54 EST XMBLM1NU No.185553 Reply
He's having his own nonsense conversation by himself. That isn't contributing to anything. It's blogging. Your standards are shit.
Lydia Summleman - Tue, 26 May 2020 14:34:20 EST GW1axdWk No.185554 Reply
>by himself
He's clearly responding to the one guy who bizarrely thinks NPR is "communist", by asking if heeven knows what that word means and why Americans habitually call random-ass things they don't like "communism".

Maybe you're personally triggered by that sort of conversation, but it's very clearly an attempt at a conversation by directly responding to something said by someone else. And in fact asking for more clarification, which would have required the other party to pariticipate and thus definitionally would have been a conversation, until you derailed this into a non-conversation about non-conversations.

If you want to voice your anger at him then do it honestly, don't pretend you're too dumb to understand what the words "by himself" means. nb
Lydia Hozzlebed - Tue, 26 May 2020 14:36:46 EST XMBLM1NU No.185555 Reply
Thats dumb fucks drooling on each other. Raise your standards.
Phineas Bazzlebitch - Tue, 26 May 2020 15:08:25 EST O/BUJHAn No.185557 Reply
I am asking, why not only he but also so many dumb fuck Fatistan dweller call all thing "Communist" and, do they know even what such thing mean, or what they think such words mean, or what they think is Communism, Marxism, or Socialism. I ask him, or any poltard. Fact you became so much triggered by such question, say to me you probably use such word all of time but too fucking dumb to know what dumb shit from out your mouth even mean. I bet, this first time even some poltard read this and realize, no he does not even know what such thing mean. So, you think PBS is Communism? You think NPR or such thing? Is all media Communism to you? What you think Socialism, Marcism, or Communism even mean? What thing you call such words?

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